Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.037041 0.041939 0.047374 0.053876 0.061472 0.070103 0.080703
2024-10-27 0.028612 0.034889 0.042506 0.052525 0.065498 0.081924 0.104609
2024-11-03 0.024863 0.031908 0.041009 0.053823 0.071723 0.096332 0.133604
2024-11-10 0.022314 0.029814 0.039995 0.055148 0.077686 0.110913 0.165460
2024-11-17 0.019983 0.027584 0.038330 0.055071 0.081331 0.122442 0.194903
2024-11-24 0.017928 0.025433 0.036412 0.054202 0.083423 0.131670 0.222344
2024-12-01 0.016554 0.024086 0.035466 0.054604 0.087459 0.144594 0.259058
2024-12-08 0.015324 0.022806 0.034437 0.054667 0.090834 0.156836 0.297323
2024-12-15 0.014347 0.021806 0.033718 0.055105 0.094858 0.170886 0.342739
2024-12-22 0.013017 0.020110 0.031674 0.052962 0.093766 0.174795 0.367146
2024-12-29 0.012653 0.019955 0.032181 0.055422 0.101788 0.198540 0.443820
2025-01-05 0.011548 0.018457 0.030227 0.053076 0.099882 0.200848 0.468539
2025-01-12 0.010707 0.017398 0.029044 0.052257 0.101430 0.212104 0.523145
2025-01-19 0.009858 0.016265 0.027643 0.050885 0.101705 0.220831 0.575176
2025-01-26 0.009448 0.015874 0.027555 0.052132 0.107961 0.245499 0.684622
2025-02-02 0.009079 0.015518 0.027490 0.053406 0.114513 0.272653 0.815086
2025-02-09 0.008590 0.014893 0.026841 0.053333 0.117826 0.292028 0.928812
2025-02-16 0.008065 0.014159 0.025902 0.052497 0.119096 0.306016 1.030136
2025-02-23 0.007712 0.013725 0.025525 0.052883 0.123589 0.330820 1.189171
2025-03-02 0.007357 0.013259 0.025037 0.052944 0.127238 0.354135 1.356937
2025-03-09 0.007063 0.012891 0.024718 0.053366 0.131976 0.382499 1.568224
2025-03-16 0.006579 0.012106 0.023444 0.051303 0.129277 0.384867 1.651630
2025-03-23 0.006495 0.012129 0.023921 0.053671 0.140058 0.438636 2.055490